Rail Strength Partially Offsets Seasonal Grain Transportation Slowdown

Rail strength is helping stabilize grain movement, but river and export slowdowns continue to limit overall logistics momentum.

NASHVILLE, Tenn. (RFD-TV) — Grain transportation ended December with mixed signals as strong rail performance partially countered sharply weaker river and ocean movement. The latest Grain Transportation Report from the U>S. The Department of Agriculture (USDA) reports capacity remains available, but usage continues to shift by mode as winter conditions and export timing influence flows.

U.S. Class I railroads originated 28,750 grain carloads during the week ending December 20, up 1 percent from the prior week and 8 percent higher than a year ago. Rail volumes were also 10 percent above the three-year average, reflecting continued demand for rail service even as overall grain movement softens late in the year. Shuttle rail car premiums declined to $863 per car above tariff, down $202 from the previous week, while non-shuttle premiums eased to $38 above tariff, signaling modest short-term capacity relief.

Barge movement weakened further. Grain shipments totaled 404,341 tons, down 20 percent from the prior week and 57 percent below the same period last year. Fewer barges moved downriver, and unloadings in the New Orleans region dropped sharply, reflecting reduced export demand and winter river constraints.

Ocean shipping also slowed, with fewer vessels loaded and scheduled compared with last year. Diesel prices fell to $3.50 per gallon, offering limited but welcome cost relief.

Farm-Level Takeaway: Rail strength is helping stabilize grain movement, but river and export slowdowns continue to limit overall logistics momentum.
Tony St. James, RFD-TV Markets Specialist
Related Stories
Despite rising costs and growing food insecurity, meat demand remained strong in 2025 as higher-income consumers offset cutbacks elsewhere. Economists break down the K-shaped economy, upcoming USDA cattle reports, livestock production outlooks, and renewed debate over beef imports and country-of-origin labeling heading into 2026.
Corn growers are turning to ethanol, E15 expansion, and export markets to help absorb record supplies and stabilize prices. Farm leaders discuss low-carbon ethanol demand, flex-fuel vehicle challenges, input costs, and the role of USMCA as producers look for market relief in the year ahead.
From rising trade tensions in Europe to a pending Supreme Court decision on tariffs and shifting demand from China, global trade policy spearheaded by President Donald Trump continues to shape the outlook for U.S. agriculture—adding uncertainty as farmers navigate another volatile year.
The Surface Transportation Board rejects the proposed Norfolk Southern–Union Pacific merger, prompting concerns from agricultural shippers about rail consolidation, service reliability, and higher transportation costs.
Livestock strength is carrying the farm economy, while crop margins remain tight and increasingly dependent on risk management and financial discipline.
Freight volatility and route selection remain critical to soybean export margins and competitiveness.

Tony St. James joined the RFD-TV talent team in August 2024, bringing a wealth of experience and a fresh perspective to RFD-TV and Rural Radio Channel 147 Sirius XM. In addition to his role as Market Specialist (collaborating with Scott “The Cow Guy” Shellady to provide radio and TV audiences with the latest updates on ag commodity markets), he hosts “Rural America Live” and serves as talent for trade shows.

LATEST STORIES BY THIS AUTHOR:

While short-term volatility remains a risk, softer ocean freight rates in 2026 could improve export margins.
Trade volatility and shifting export destinations increase marketing risk for producers heading into 2026.
Rising rural business confidence supports local ag economies, but taxes and labor shortages remain key constraints.
The proposal signals a renewed push to offset tariff-driven losses, stabilize nutrition programs, and broaden eligibility for farm aid, though its path forward will depend on congressional negotiations.
Soft equipment sales signal cautious farm spending as producers prioritize cash flow over expansion.
Wind repowering offers a rare opportunity to renegotiate outdated leases and improve long-term land income for landowners who act early.