Red Meat Production Slows Further in October

Tight cattle supplies continue to drive lower beef output despite heavier weights.

NASHVILLE, Tenn. (RFD-TV) — New data from the U.S. Department of Agriculture (USDA) shows red meat production continuing to ease as tighter cattle supplies and mixed hog numbers shape the fall slaughter pace.

The October Livestock Slaughter Report (PDF Version) from USDA’s National Agricultural Statistics Service (NASS) highlights a 3 percent year-over-year decline in total commercial red meat output, marking another month of reduced beef availability for processors and retailers.

Beef production fell 6 percent in October 2024, as cattle slaughter dropped 8 percent, despite average live weights rising by 30 pounds. Veal volumes saw the steepest cuts, down 39 percent as calf slaughter fell sharply.

Pork was the lone category holding steady. Production edged slightly higher on firmer carcass weights, offsetting a 1 percent decline in hog slaughter. Lamb and mutton output slipped 8 percent on lighter weights and marginally lower sheep slaughter.

Operationally, the data reflect the ongoing impact of historically small cattle inventories and stable but cautious hog numbers. Processors continue to rely on heavier carcasses to maintain throughput.

Looking ahead, year-to-date red meat output is running 3 percent below 2024, with beef down 4 percent and pork down 1 percent.

Farm-Level Takeaway: Tight cattle supplies continue to drive lower beef output despite heavier weights.
Tony St. James, RFD-TV Markets Specialist
Related Stories
As markets anticipate a return to normal trading following the New Year’s holiday, the possibility of the southern border re-opening to cattle is capturing much attention.
High ownership does not always translate into high output, underscoring the importance of structural differences in understanding state-level farm performance.
Record yields are cushioning production declines, but softer prices underscore the importance of cost control and market timing for vegetable growers.
Cuba remains a small but dependable, cash-only outlet for U.S. grain and food products.
Expanding cheese exports are strengthening U.S. milk demand and reinforcing global competitiveness.
Strong global demand and falling stocks suggest continued price volatility for U.S. coffee buyers despite record world production.

Tony St. James joined the RFD-TV talent team in August 2024, bringing a wealth of experience and a fresh perspective to RFD-TV and Rural Radio Channel 147 Sirius XM. In addition to his role as Market Specialist (collaborating with Scott “The Cow Guy” Shellady to provide radio and TV audiences with the latest updates on ag commodity markets), he hosts “Rural America Live” and serves as talent for trade shows.

LATEST STORIES BY THIS AUTHOR:

Tyson’s closure reflects deep supply shortages in the U.S. cattle industry, tightening packing capacity, weakening competition, and signaling more volatility ahead for cow-calf producers and feedyards.
Lower tariff rates and new rail-service proposals may improve corn movement efficiency during early-season marketing.
Crop producers face tightening credit and lower incomes, while strong cattle markets continue to stabilize finances in livestock-heavy regions.
Early Cattle-on-Feed estimates point to slightly tighter cattle supplies, reinforcing the need to monitor prices and timing for winter marketing.
Removing the 40% duty sharply lowers U.S. beef import costs on beef, coffee, fertilizer and fruit, and restores Brazil’s competitiveness during a period of tight domestic supply.
Row crop losses in 2025 are outpacing last year. With no disaster aid yet approved, many operations face a tough financial bridge to 2026 even as Farm Bill improvements remain a year away.