Sorghum Surplus, Corn Concerns Put Pressure on Farm Country

Record U.S. sorghum crop faces weak demand as China slashes imports, while corn farmers warn of rising costs, shrinking margins, and global market pressures.

corn crop aerial_adobe stock.png

U.S. row crop farmers are staring down a season of uncertainty as record sorghum supplies pile up with few buyers and corn growers warn of mounting financial pressure. With China cutting back on sorghum imports, domestic demand waning, and corn prices sliding under the weight of rising costs, producers say trade access, policy action, and global market stability will be critical to keeping operations afloat.

A Stockpile of Unsold Sorghum

Nearly 10 million metric tons are expected to hit the bins this year, but domestic demand is down, and our largest buyer, China, has slashed imports. Farmers are facing a harsh reality, questioning where all this grain will go.

Senator Roger Marshall (R-KS) said he’s pushing for renewed trade access to help U.S. growers move the record crop abroad.

“Sure, it would be great to get China to open up its markets and buy some sorghum as well,” Sen. Marshall said in an interview with RFD-TV News on Friday. “That’s my message to the White House. This week is a buy. About $2 billion of sorghum. It would be a huge help as we have, it looks like, a record crop out there for sorghum this year.”

Meanwhile, National Sorghum Producers Council (NSPC) CEO Tim Lust said the industry is actively working with lawmakers and the administration to navigate these uncertain markets.

“Sorghum’s always had a very positive story -- we’ve always been a part of our trade deficit solution, normally exporting $1 to $2 billion worth of sorghum around the world,” Lust said in an interview with RFD-TV. “And so when we look at not only what does that mean to sorghum, but what’s it mean to elevators and elevator infrastructure? And as we’ve seen the loss of a number of elevators between Lubbock and Amarillo, we know how critical that infrastructure is. And when we look at what it does to trucking and what it does to shipping, and so we know that it has an impact throughout and just trying to continue to point out the challenges that we have as a sorghum industry and at the farm level, and continue to work with the administration and congress to find those opportunities and those answers to get us back on a trade plane that we’re more used to.”

The USDA projects a season-average farm price near $3.70 per bushel, with sorghum trading at a discount to corn.

Growing Concern For Corn Producers

U.S. corn growers are also sounding the alarm. New polling from the National Corn Growers Association (NCGA) shows most farmers expect an economic crisis on the horizon. With rising input costs, tight margins, and global market pressures, growers are being forced to make tough decisions in fields and farmhouses nationwide.

Farm and Trade CEO Jeremy Zwinger said this is not just an American problem, warning that farmers around the globe are all having similar conversations.

“It’s not just in the U.S., it’s worldwide. I mean, you’re hearing it in Thailand, you’re hearing it in the Philippines, you’re hearing it throughout the world,” Zwinger explained. “As these prices go down, there really is some suffering on those levels, and they have much less of a safety net worldwide than we do. I know this week, Secretary Rollins was around looking at and talking about how we are going to augment the income. We see the suffering, Trump sees the suffering. And people want to try to point to Trump with the tariffs. While all he’s done with the tariffs for haircuts was increased markets. It really is the down market. And so, because growers are so, so critical to our overall system, we do have to protect them and open up markets.”

AFBF: Farm Income? More Like Disaster Aid

Even here at home, the numbers only tell part of the story. Net farm income is projected to rise this year, but American Farm Bureau Federation (AFBF) President Zippy Duvall said the gains mask deeper challenges for many producers.

“Recent farm income numbers look good at first glance, but when you look closer, there is real concern in farm country,” Duvall said. “Net farm income this year is expected to be almost $180 billion—an increase from 2024 that looks like a win. In reality, assistance for losses in 2023 and 2024 accounts for a significant portion of this year’s numbers.”

Duvall added that row crop farmers are facing billions in losses as costs rise. This underscores the need for progress in trade, renewable fuel expansion, labor reform, and a new Farm Bill.

Related Stories
Bangladesh recently pledged to purchase 700,000 tons of U.S. wheat and has also become a new buyer of American soybeans.
Ethanol exports are expanding on strong demand from Canada and Europe, while DDGS shipments remain broad-based and supportive for feed markets.
Dalton Henry, with U.S. Wheat Associates, joined RFD-TV to provide insight on what the pending trade frameworks may mean for American wheat growers.
A massive rail merger could significantly impact North American agriculture and trade flows.
Cattle and hog supplies continue to tighten while dairy output expands, creating a split outlook in which red-meat prices soften and milk values come under pressure from larger supplies.
Hunter Biram, an extension economist with the University of Arkansas, is tracking Mississippi River water levels as grain shippers shift their focus to transportation following the wrap-up of fall harvest.

LATEST STORIES BY THIS AUTHOR:

UT Extension also offers tips to help consumers stretch their grocery budgets, including meal planning, sticking to a shopping list, and choosing store or generic brands.
Early indications suggest the U.S. cattle industry may be nearing the end of its liquidation phase. Oklahoma State University livestock economist Dr. Derrell Peel says the industry could be at or near the cyclical low.
Sen. Amy Klobuchar has four years remaining in her Senate term and could decide to continue serving in that role while campaigning for Governor of Minnesota.
STRAUSS CEO Henning Strauss joined us with a preview of “Meet Strauss: The Tool You Wear,” premiering live tonight at 7:30 ET — only on RFD Network and RFD+
FarmHER Chris Nellis and her daughters navigate loss while carrying on a 300-year farm legacy, milking cows in upstate New York.
Justin Wheeler with the American Society of Farm Managers & Rural Appraisers joined us with insight into current farmland values and what to watch in the year ahead.