WASHINGTON, D.C. (RFD NEWS) — The latest World Agricultural Supply and Demand Estimate (WASDE) report from the U.S. Department of Agriculture (USDA) for February (PDF Version) left much of the 2025/26 outlook unchanged but delivered notable adjustments for corn, wheat, and cotton that continue to shape price expectations.
U.S. soybean supply and use forecasts were held steady, with the season-average farm price unchanged at $10.20 per bushel. Soybean meal and oil prices were also unchanged, while global soybean ending stocks increased on larger crops in Brazil and Paraguay.
The USDA also noted China may be considering additional U.S. soybean purchases, which would likely shift export destinations rather than expand global trade.
Corn was the most supportive revision. USDA raised U.S. corn exports by 100 million bushels to 3.3 billion, citing strong sales and inspections, and cut ending stocks to 2.1 billion bushels. The season-average corn price remained at $4.10 per bushel.
U.S. wheat ending stocks increased to 931 million bushels on lower food use, keeping prices at $4.90 per bushel.
Cotton saw slightly weaker demand, with exports trimmed and the projected farm price lowered to 60 cents per pound.
Farm-Level Takeaway: Strong corn exports offer support, while soybeans and wheat remain weighed down by ample global supplies.
Tony St. James, RFD NEWS Markets Specialist
Watch highlights and reactions to the February WASDE Report from today’s Market Day Report:
Weather, Tight Supplies, and Planning Shape Farm Decisions
January 05, 2026 03:23 PM
·
Bigger cows must wean proportionally heavier calves to justify higher ownership costs.
January 05, 2026 03:08 PM
·
Improving consumer confidence supports baseline food and fuel demand, but cautious spending limits upside potential for ag markets in 2026.
January 05, 2026 03:00 PM
·
Strong ethanol production and export trends continue to support corn demand despite seasonal fuel consumption softness.
January 05, 2026 02:49 PM
·
Cotton demand depends on demonstrating performance and reliability buyers can rely on, not messaging alone.
January 05, 2026 02:41 PM
·
A look at the legislative year ahead as lawmakers return to Washington with a slate of trade concerns to tackle in 2026—from new Chinese tariffs on beef imports to the USMCA review this summer.
January 05, 2026 12:20 PM
·
Shaun Haney, Host of
RealAg Radio on Rural Radio SiriusXM Channel 147, joined us with his 2026 cattle market outlook and insights on beef prices.
January 05, 2026 10:41 AM
·
December 30, 2025 11:58 AM
High ownership does not always translate into high output, underscoring the importance of structural differences in understanding state-level farm performance.
December 28, 2025 03:00 PM
·
