Thanksgiving Turkey Prices Soar As Holiday Costs Shift

A smaller U.S. turkey flock and resurgent avian flu have tightened supplies, driving prices higher even as other key holiday foods show mixed trends.

LUBBOCK, Texas (RFD-TV)Thanksgiving shoppers will pay sharply more for their centerpiece birds this year, though several side-dish staples could offer some relief. Dr. David Anderson, livestock economist with Texas A&M AgriLife Extension, says wholesale turkey prices have climbed to $1.68 per pound, up 70 percent from 99 cents a year ago.

Production is down by more than eight percent amid higher feed, labor, and energy costs, as well as lingering fallout from avian influenza, which continues to limit supply. With hens taking up to 18 weeks and toms more than 20 to reach market weight, rebuilding inventories has been slow, tightening availability heading into the holidays.

Grocers typically feature promotional pricing on turkeys to draw shoppers, but Anderson notes fewer specials so far this year. While centerpiece birds cost more, other items are trending lower: eggs down 51 percent, milk and butter cheaper on stronger dairy output, and modest declines for many baking goods. Ham and steak prices remain firm, and potatoes and cranberries are slightly higher than last year. Anderson says even with higher prices, turkey still represents good meal value given its yield and leftovers.

Farm-Level Takeaway: A smaller U.S. turkey flock and resurgent avian flu have tightened supplies, driving prices higher even as other key holiday foods show mixed trends.
Tony St. James, RFD-TV Markets Specialist
Related Stories
Prepare for tighter cash flow, delayed capital buys, and policy-driven risk management this fall.
Jed Bower, the incoming president of the National Corn Growers Association, joined us for his sector’s perspective on the ongoing government shutdown.
George Baird, with the American Society of Farm Managers and Rural Appraisers (ASFMRA), joins us with updates on how this year’s rice harvest is shaping up.
Market analyst Kevin Huddleston said news of trade deals could rebound cotton prices in late fall, and producers need to be ready to strike deals.
Shaun Haney, host of RealAg Radio, joined us to break down the latest data on Canadian farmland values and share insights on how it impacts producers.
Lewis Williamson, from HTS Commodities, joined us to share insights on the farm economy from producers in the field.

Tony St. James joined the RFD-TV talent team in August 2024, bringing a wealth of experience and a fresh perspective to RFD-TV and Rural Radio Channel 147 Sirius XM. In addition to his role as Market Specialist (collaborating with Scott “The Cow Guy” Shellady to provide radio and TV audiences with the latest updates on ag commodity markets), he hosts “Rural America Live” and serves as talent for trade shows.

LATEST STORIES BY THIS AUTHOR:

Farmers who rely on H-2A workers will see a few key changes to speed up the process and make it fairer. On the ground, producers say labor issues create shortfalls in otherwise productive harvests.
Industry leaders representing more than 40 nations gathered to discuss the future of ethanol and other corn-based products.
Farmers display a unique optimism — planting with the expectation that weather, basis, and prices will improve by harvest — asserting that the profession is an identity, not just a job.
Imported lean beef continues to play a critical role in U.S. hamburger and ground-beef production, with any added volume from Argentina serving as a supplement — not a market overhaul.
A fast-moving series of trade signals from the White House and key partners is resetting the near-term outlook for U.S. agriculture.
Stay alert for trade announcements—especially border reopening timelines, tariff threats, and developments in Brazil’s export flows.