February WASDE Lifts Livestock Prices Amid Shifting Supply Outlook

Higher livestock prices reflect resilient demand, even as disease and herd shifts reshape 2026 supply expectations.

Cathy_Lafrenz_08_09_13_USA_IA_Miss_Effies_Country_Flowers_and_Garden_Stuff_006.jpg

FarmHER Cathy Lafrenz, Miss Effie’s Country Flowers and Garden Stuff in Iowa (2013)

Photo by Marji Guyler-Alaniz/FarmHER, Inc.

WASHINGTON, D.C. (RFD NEWS) — The latest World Agricultural Supply and Demand Estimate (WASDE) report from the U.S. Department of Agriculture (USDA) for February (PDF Version) points to tighter dynamics and stronger prices across much of the livestock and dairy complex in 2026, even as total red meat and poultry production edges higher.

Beef and pork production were both revised upward, while poultry output was trimmed, reflecting shifting herd dynamics, disease impacts, and evolving demand.

Beef production is now projected to be higher due to increased slaughter of steers, heifers, and cows, along with slightly heavier dressed weights. While the January Cattle Inventory report confirmed a smaller 2025 calf crop, USDA expects more cattle outside feedlots to be available for placement early in 2026. Pork production was also higher due to higher slaughter levels and modestly heavier weights in the first half of the year.

Farm-Level Takeaway: Higher livestock prices reflect resilient demand, even as disease and herd shifts reshape 2026 supply expectations.
Tony St. James, RFD NEWS Markets Specialist

In contrast, broiler and turkey production forecasts were lowered for early 2026. Recent hatchery data and Highly Pathogenic Avian Influenza-related culling weighed on poultry and egg production, tightening supplies into the first quarter.

Trade and price outlooks turned supportive. Beef imports rose due to strong demand for lean processing beef, while pork exports increased due to improved competitiveness. Fed-cattle and hog prices were raised across all quarters, and the all-milk price was lifted to $18.95 per hundredweight.

Watch highlights and reactions to the February WASDE Report from today’s Market Day Report:

Related Stories
Kevin Charleston with Specialty Risk Insurance joins us to discuss evolving insurance needs in the dairy sector and strategies to support dairy producers during National Dairy Month.
The award-winning frozen treats are helping introduce consumers to goat milk in a new way.
Libby Lovig with Nevada Dairy Farmers discusses the “From Our Herd to Yours” campaign, National Dairy Month, and consumer outreach.
Industry leaders highlighted trade concerns, export opportunities and the importance of maintaining momentum behind the agreement.

Tony St. James joined the RFD-TV talent team in August 2024, bringing a wealth of experience and a fresh perspective to RFD-TV and Rural Radio Channel 147 Sirius XM. In addition to his role as Market Specialist (collaborating with Scott “The Cow Guy” Shellady to provide radio and TV audiences with the latest updates on ag commodity markets), he hosts “Rural America Live” and serves as talent for trade shows.

LATEST STORIES BY THIS AUTHOR:

RealAg Radio’s Shaun Haney discusses the next generation of Canadian agricultural policy, producer priorities, concerns surrounding risk management programs, and what the framework could mean for agriculture on both sides of the border.
Corn ethanol demand and stronger oilseed processing continue supporting domestic markets for crop producers.
Farms should identify key roles and begin leadership succession planning well ahead of any transitions—expected or unexpected.
Seasonal beef production gains may moderate retail price pressure, while tight cattle supplies continue supporting producer values.
Higher rail fuel surcharges could add cost pressure even as wheat production falls and grain movement remains active.
New Fed surveys show farmland values remain historically high, though some Upper Midwest markets are beginning to soften.
Agriculture Shows
Join markets specialist Scott Shellady, better known as the Cow Guy, as he covers the market-close, breaking down headlines that drive the commodities and equities markets with commentary from respected industry heavyweights.
Tara Beaver Coronado (formerly known as Beaver Vineyards) is a farmer in Northern California. She raises grain crops with her dad. Tara planted her very first vineyard in 2018. Her channel is centered around her daily life on the farm, as well as promoting the diversity and scale of California agriculture.
A few years ago, the Stoney Ridge Farmer moved from a 1/3-acre lot in the city to a 150-acre farm nestled in the foothills of the Blue Ridge Mountains of North Carolina.
Cole Sonne is a fourth-generation farmer living in Southeastern South Dakota. His family farm raises Black Angus bulls and grows alfalfa, grass, hay, corn, and soybeans. Cole says, “I make these videos for your entertainment (and for my own, as well)!”