Red Meat Production Slows Further in October

Tight cattle supplies continue to drive lower beef output despite heavier weights.

NASHVILLE, Tenn. (RFD-TV) — New data from the U.S. Department of Agriculture (USDA) shows red meat production continuing to ease as tighter cattle supplies and mixed hog numbers shape the fall slaughter pace.

The October Livestock Slaughter Report (PDF Version) from USDA’s National Agricultural Statistics Service (NASS) highlights a 3 percent year-over-year decline in total commercial red meat output, marking another month of reduced beef availability for processors and retailers.

Beef production fell 6 percent in October 2024, as cattle slaughter dropped 8 percent, despite average live weights rising by 30 pounds. Veal volumes saw the steepest cuts, down 39 percent as calf slaughter fell sharply.

Pork was the lone category holding steady. Production edged slightly higher on firmer carcass weights, offsetting a 1 percent decline in hog slaughter. Lamb and mutton output slipped 8 percent on lighter weights and marginally lower sheep slaughter.

Operationally, the data reflect the ongoing impact of historically small cattle inventories and stable but cautious hog numbers. Processors continue to rely on heavier carcasses to maintain throughput.

Looking ahead, year-to-date red meat output is running 3 percent below 2024, with beef down 4 percent and pork down 1 percent.

Farm-Level Takeaway: Tight cattle supplies continue to drive lower beef output despite heavier weights.
Tony St. James, RFD-TV Markets Specialist
Related Stories
USMEF President and CEO Dan Halstrom shares how recent trade talks are influencing U.S. red meat global sales and the importance of key trade agreements like the USMCA.
Winter weather will challenge livestock producers working to rebuild their herds despite harsh conditions.
Enforceable origin labels could create clearer premiums for U.S. cattle and address concerns some producers have had with competition from foreign imported beef.
Rural businesses report softer sales, tougher hiring, and restrained investment — a backdrop that can pinch farm support capacity even if posted prices cool.
Friday’s release will be the first WASDE report in about two months, and early estimates indicate a corn surplus is still on the way.
The National Milk Producers Federation (NMPF) says recent wins in markets like Malaysia and Cambodia help farmers focus on production rather than trade barriers.

Tony St. James joined the RFD-TV talent team in August 2024, bringing a wealth of experience and a fresh perspective to RFD-TV and Rural Radio Channel 147 Sirius XM. In addition to his role as Market Specialist (collaborating with Scott “The Cow Guy” Shellady to provide radio and TV audiences with the latest updates on ag commodity markets), he hosts “Rural America Live” and serves as talent for trade shows.

LATEST STORIES BY THIS AUTHOR:

Prepare for tighter cash flow, delayed capital buys, and policy-driven risk management this fall.
Plan for a cooler global trade market in 2026 with tighter margins on exports, potential rate shifts, and premiums for reliable deliveries into Asian and African growth markets.
George Baird, with the American Society of Farm Managers and Rural Appraisers (ASFMRA), joins us with updates on how this year’s rice harvest is shaping up.
Crop insurance remains a vital tool for managing climate-driven risk.
Expect firm demand for dependable HRS and SW, steady movement in HRW, more sorting on SRW, and selective bids on durum until full milling results are released.
Reversion would sharply increase dairy prices and raise crop supports, driving up government costs and consumer prices while unsettling markets—even as crop insurance remains in place.