WASHINGTON, D.C. (RFD NEWS) — The latest World Agricultural Supply and Demand Estimate (WASDE) report from the U.S. Department of Agriculture (USDA) for February (PDF Version) left much of the 2025/26 outlook unchanged but delivered notable adjustments for corn, wheat, and cotton that continue to shape price expectations.
U.S. soybean supply and use forecasts were held steady, with the season-average farm price unchanged at $10.20 per bushel. Soybean meal and oil prices were also unchanged, while global soybean ending stocks increased on larger crops in Brazil and Paraguay.
The USDA also noted China may be considering additional U.S. soybean purchases, which would likely shift export destinations rather than expand global trade.
Corn was the most supportive revision. USDA raised U.S. corn exports by 100 million bushels to 3.3 billion, citing strong sales and inspections, and cut ending stocks to 2.1 billion bushels. The season-average corn price remained at $4.10 per bushel.
U.S. wheat ending stocks increased to 931 million bushels on lower food use, keeping prices at $4.90 per bushel.
Cotton saw slightly weaker demand, with exports trimmed and the projected farm price lowered to 60 cents per pound.
Farm-Level Takeaway: Strong corn exports offer support, while soybeans and wheat remain weighed down by ample global supplies.
Tony St. James, RFD NEWS Markets Specialist
Watch highlights and reactions to the February WASDE Report from today’s Market Day Report:
High milk production and soft retail demand are squeezing prices and margins — making careful feed and risk management essential through year-end.
November 01, 2025 06:54 AM
·
U.S. Rep. Dusty Johnson (R-SD) shares his outlook on the developing U.S.-China Trade agreement, and the ongoing impact of the federal government shutdown—now stretching past four weeks—on rural communities and producers.
October 31, 2025 01:35 PM
·
RealAg Radio host Shaun Haney joined us on Friday’s Market Day Report to discuss what the Carney-Xi meeting could mean for Canadian producers.
October 31, 2025 01:29 PM
·
Market analyst and friend of the show, Shawn Hackett, says Brazil’s shifting use of crops for biofuel production is a significant factor.
October 31, 2025 01:17 PM
·
Caleb Ragland, president of the American Soybean Association (ASA), shares his reaction to news of soybean sales to China, which is considered both “welcome news” and a return to near-normal trade relations.
October 31, 2025 12:26 PM
·
Rabobank’s outlook signals a tightening margin environment, emphasizing the need for cost control, trade stability, and clearer policy signals heading into 2026.
October 31, 2025 11:44 AM
·