Thanksgiving Turkey Prices Soar As Holiday Costs Shift

A smaller U.S. turkey flock and resurgent avian flu have tightened supplies, driving prices higher even as other key holiday foods show mixed trends.

LUBBOCK, Texas (RFD-TV)Thanksgiving shoppers will pay sharply more for their centerpiece birds this year, though several side-dish staples could offer some relief. Dr. David Anderson, livestock economist with Texas A&M AgriLife Extension, says wholesale turkey prices have climbed to $1.68 per pound, up 70 percent from 99 cents a year ago.

Production is down by more than eight percent amid higher feed, labor, and energy costs, as well as lingering fallout from avian influenza, which continues to limit supply. With hens taking up to 18 weeks and toms more than 20 to reach market weight, rebuilding inventories has been slow, tightening availability heading into the holidays.

Grocers typically feature promotional pricing on turkeys to draw shoppers, but Anderson notes fewer specials so far this year. While centerpiece birds cost more, other items are trending lower: eggs down 51 percent, milk and butter cheaper on stronger dairy output, and modest declines for many baking goods. Ham and steak prices remain firm, and potatoes and cranberries are slightly higher than last year. Anderson says even with higher prices, turkey still represents good meal value given its yield and leftovers.

Farm-Level Takeaway: A smaller U.S. turkey flock and resurgent avian flu have tightened supplies, driving prices higher even as other key holiday foods show mixed trends.
Tony St. James, RFD-TV Markets Specialist
Related Stories
Tyson is still reshaping its beef footprint.
Cotton prices improved last week, but drought, storms, and uneven planting are keeping risk elevated.
Industry leaders gather in Mexico City to strengthen trade and showcase product quality.
USDA Chief Economist Justin Benavidez says the cattle industry may be nearing a turning point that could gradually reshape supply, prices, and profitability in the years ahead.
Federal officials are signaling a more aggressive push on beef packer concentration, but any direct market impact will depend on what the investigation actually finds.
The USDA’s annual report leaves dairy producers with a mixed picture. Output and herd size expanded, but weaker prices kept income from rising with production.

Tony St. James joined the RFD-TV talent team in August 2024, bringing a wealth of experience and a fresh perspective to RFD-TV and Rural Radio Channel 147 Sirius XM. In addition to his role as Market Specialist (collaborating with Scott “The Cow Guy” Shellady to provide radio and TV audiences with the latest updates on ag commodity markets), he hosts “Rural America Live” and serves as talent for trade shows.

LATEST STORIES BY THIS AUTHOR:

March cold storage data showed generally tighter year-over-year stock levels across several key meat and dairy categories.
Spring Weather Splits Conditions Across American Farm Country
Florida’s import rule shows New World screwworm concerns are already affecting livestock movement and market conditions.
Rep. Adrian Smith joins us to discuss the push for nationwide year-round E15 sales and legislative hurdles for getting it into the farm bill.
Steady Panama Canal operations help support more predictable shipping conditions for global agriculture.
Lower slaughter numbers reduced 2025 red meat output even with heavier cattle and hogs.