WASHINGTON, D.C. (RFD NEWS) — The latest World Agricultural Supply and Demand Estimate (WASDE) report from the U.S. Department of Agriculture (USDA) for February (PDF Version) left much of the 2025/26 outlook unchanged but delivered notable adjustments for corn, wheat, and cotton that continue to shape price expectations.
U.S. soybean supply and use forecasts were held steady, with the season-average farm price unchanged at $10.20 per bushel. Soybean meal and oil prices were also unchanged, while global soybean ending stocks increased on larger crops in Brazil and Paraguay.
The USDA also noted China may be considering additional U.S. soybean purchases, which would likely shift export destinations rather than expand global trade.
Corn was the most supportive revision. USDA raised U.S. corn exports by 100 million bushels to 3.3 billion, citing strong sales and inspections, and cut ending stocks to 2.1 billion bushels. The season-average corn price remained at $4.10 per bushel.
U.S. wheat ending stocks increased to 931 million bushels on lower food use, keeping prices at $4.90 per bushel.
Cotton saw slightly weaker demand, with exports trimmed and the projected farm price lowered to 60 cents per pound.
Farm-Level Takeaway: Strong corn exports offer support, while soybeans and wheat remain weighed down by ample global supplies.
Tony St. James, RFD NEWS Markets Specialist
Watch highlights and reactions to the February WASDE Report from today’s Market Day Report:
The FAO Food Price Index for November fell by more than 1 percent in November, marking the third straight month of declines.
December 05, 2025 11:54 AM
·
Higher ocean freight raises export costs just as global grain competition intensifies.
December 04, 2025 02:50 PM
·
Henning Strauss, CEO of STRAUSS, joins us to share his company’s commitment to crafting tools that farmers wear.
December 04, 2025 12:53 PM
·
Buying a real Christmas tree directly supports U.S. farmers facing rising import competition, long production cycles, and weather-driven risks.
December 04, 2025 11:02 AM
·
Strong plant output and rising exports contrast with softer domestic blending demand, suggesting margins are poised for volatility.
December 04, 2025 10:43 AM
·
Milk output is rising, but steep drops in Class I–IV prices are tightening margins heading into 2026.
December 04, 2025 07:00 AM
·
Tight cattle supplies continue to drive lower beef output despite heavier weights.
December 04, 2025 05:00 AM
·
Weaker U.S. dairy prices come as value-added exports expand and ingredient inventories tighten, creating mixed market signals for producers.
December 03, 2025 06:52 PM
·
WTO gauges point to agricultural raw materials trade growing more slowly than overall goods, reinforcing the need to manage export risk and monitor policy shifts closely.
December 03, 2025 03:46 PM
·
